As the saying goes: Big players, make big plays, in big games.
Betting on some of those marquee names or perhaps some underutilized weapons is the path to profit in the betting markets.
Perhaps no week in the NFL is more exhilerating than this one.
The divisonal round of the playoffs gives us eight teams and four games to dive into through Saturday and Sunday of the playoffs.
You won’t want to miss this.
Divisional round player props for Saturday
Texans vs. Chiefs
C.J. Stroud over 13.5 rushing yards (-109, BetRivers) | Most rushing yards in the game (41/1, FanDuel) |
C.J. Stroud has been forced to run the ball as the Texans offensive line has played terribly for much of the season.
Houston’s offensive line will be under siege as defensive tackle Chris Jones looks to dominate this game.
Stroud has no issue running away, taking six attempts for 42 yards last weekend.
Look for more strong results from the Texans’ star quarterback in a game I expect them to have a legitimate chance to win.
Patrick Mahomes anytime rushing touchdown (+550, FanDuel)
Last time these two teams faced off, Mahomes rushed five times for 33 yards and a touchdown.
I don’t love his rushing total, though, coming in at 23.5 yards.
Mahomes has only crossed that total one time in his last five games and three times in his past seven postseason games.
Between poor play from Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco, Mahomes will certainly have an opportunity to plunge one in at the goal line.
The Texans. who faced just two run-first quarterbacks all season, allow the highest yards per carry average in the NFL to opposing quarterbacks.
Commanders vs. Lions
Jameson Williams over 1.5 rushing yards (-125, Fanatics)
Jameson Williams has been getting a bunch of jet-sweep like carries out of the backfield.
In a game where the Commanders’ run defense is among the worst in the NFL (26th in YPC allowed), the Lions are in a great spot to be creative with their rushing attack.
Williams has covered this number once in his last three games, but there’s one stat that I find particularly interested that points to an over here.
The Commanders are one of the worst defenses in the league when there is motion at the snap of a run play.
They has the seventh worst EPA (expected points allowed) on jet-sweep motion plays and allow 4.7 yards per carry on these plays.
Zach Ertz to score a touchdown (+295, Caesars)
Commanders tight end Zach Ertz is the veteran presence needed on a very young team.
Two things that Washington should do in a projected Saturday night shootout is rely on the run game and their veterans.
Ertz has caught six touchdowns in his last seven games and their most targeted receiver in the redzone during that span.
Look for Ertz to be heavily involved on Saturday.
Betting on the NFL?
Brian Robinson Jr. over 34.5 rushing yards (-110, BetMGM) | 70+ (+700, Bet365)
Washington has been using a committee in recent weeks and Brian Robinson Jr. has been ineffective since Week 18.
Unless there is an undisclosed injury here, Robinson should retain his spot atop the Washington backfield.
Robinson has double digit carries in 12 of 15 games this season and Detroit’s defense is 21st in yards per carry allowed this season (4.5).
Washington should run often come Saturday and I suspect Robinson to get the bulk of that work as he has all season.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
