Former President Trump is narrowly leading President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup among Michigan voters, according to a new poll.
The Fox News survey, released Wednesday, shows Trump leading Biden by two points — 47 percent to 45 percent — in a head-to-head hypothetical rematch.
Trump’s lead grows when respondents are asked to select between a larger array of candidates, a group that includes third-party candidates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., and Cornel West, as well as Green Party candidate Jill Stein.
When presented with five candidates, 42 percent of respondents say they would vote or lean toward Trump, and 37 percent say the same about Biden. Kennedy gets 11 percent, Stein gets 3 percent and West gets 2 percent, according to the poll.
The survey also reveals new insight into the electorate of the key swing state, which Trump won in 2016 and Biden won in 2020.
The poll — conducted on and in the days following the release of special counsel Robert Hur’s damning report around Biden’s retention of classified documents after leaving office as vice president — also asked respondents how likely it is that “issues about Joe Biden’s mental soundness would cause you to rethink supporting him.”
Nearly two-thirds, 64 percent, said it was either not very (23 percent) or not at all (41 percent) likely. Similarly, 76 percent of Trump voters said it was not very (16 percent) or not at all (60 percent) likely that his legal issues — 91 criminal charges in four separate indictments, plus a slew of civil cases — would cause them to rethink supporting the former president in November.
Biden allies have grown increasingly concerned about the Great Lakes State, which has a large Arab American community that has grown increasingly vocal against Biden’s support of Israel amid it’s ongoing war with Palestinian militant group Hamas.
In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling average of head-to-head hypothetical matchups in Michigan, Trump leads by 3.5 percentage points, 45.7 percent to Biden’s 42.2 percent.
The Fox News poll was conducted Feb. 8-12 among 1,106 registered voters in Michigan, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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