Vice President Harris is narrowly outpacing former President Trump just days before Election Day, according to YouGov’s final presidential estimate.
The election model, unveiled Friday, shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points nationally, 50 percent to 47 percent. The latest update shows the vice president with 240 electoral votes compared to her GOP rival’s 218. Around 80 remain a toss-up.
The previous model from Oct. 16 showed Harris ahead with 250 electoral votes and the former president with 219. In that release, only 69 voters were considered toss-ups.
YouGov listed Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia as the likely battlegrounds — leaving off Michigan.
In Nevada, Harris leads Trump with 50 percent support to his 48 percent. In Arizona, Trump takes the lead, outpacing Harris by the same 3-point margin, the model shows.
In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, the vice president has a slight lead over the former president, 49 percent to 48 percent. She also outpaces the Republican nominee by 2 points in Wisconsin, 49 percent to 47 percent, according to the pollster.
Though in Georgia, the model shows the GOP nominee with a 1-point edge over his Democratic rival, 49 percent to 48 percent.
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling index shows Harris with a razor-thin lead over Trump nationally — 48.3 percent to 48 percent.
The national poll interviewed 57, 784 registered voters from Oct. 25 to 31. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points.
