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Dow falls 400 points as hot inflation data hurts chance of June rate cut

Wall Street’s main stock indexes tumbled on Wednesday after a stronger-than-anticipated inflation reading dampened hopes of the Federal Reserve kicking off its monetary easing cycle in June.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 393 points, or 1%, to 38,490 in mid-morning trading.

Earlier in the session the blue-chip index dropped more than 500 points.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also slid nearly 1%.

All 11 S&P 500 sectors were trading in the red.

The Dow had been down more than 500 points earlier in the session. Getty Images

The rate-sensitive real estate sector led declines, falling 3.3%.

A Labor Department report showed the Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% on a monthly basis in March, compared with the 0.3% increase expected by economists polled by Reuters.

Annually, it increased 3.5%, versus a 3.4% estimated growth.

Excluding volatile food and energy components, the core figure rose 0.4% month-on-month in March, against expectations of a 0.3% advance.

Annually, it gained 3.8%, versus the estimated 3.7% increase.

“Data was hotter than expected, both on the top line and the core number… it’s indicative of sticky inflation and the potential for the Fed to either cut fewer times or not at all in 2024,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth.

“I don’t think it speaks to the need for a rate hike, but stocks have to be re-priced for a different environment which is presenting itself with this inflationary data.”

Yields across government bonds spiked after the data was released, with the 10-year note climbing back to 4.4806% — its highest level since last November.

A Labor Department report showed the Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% on a monthly basis in March, compared with the 0.3% increase expected by economists. JIM LO SCALZO/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Traders slashed bets of the Fed cutting interest rates in June after the CPI report, estimating the central bank will wait until September before cutting rates.

Minutes from the Fed’s March meeting, where it stuck to its guidance of three rate cuts this year, are due later in the day and could be key in gauging the central bank’s stand on policy easing.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an interview to Yahoo Finance on Tuesday that it was possible the Fed may not cut interest rates at all this year if the progress on inflation stalls and the economy continues to outperform.

Traders slashed bets of the Fed cutting interest rates in June after the CPI report, estimating the central bank will wait until September before cutting rates. Getty Images

The first-quarter earnings season will pick up pace towards the end of the week, when banking giants JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo are scheduled to report.

Among single stocks, Delta Air Lines advanced 3.9% after the carrier offered an upbeat outlook for the current quarter and topped Wall Street estimates for first-quarter earnings on buoyant travel demand.

US-listed shares of Alibaba gained 2.8% after the company’s co-founder Jack Ma penned a lengthy memo to employees on Tuesday, expressing support for the internet giant’s restructuring efforts — a rare move from the billionaire, who has spent the last few years away from the spotlight.

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