President Biden is ahead of former President Donald Trump in deep blue New York — but only by single digits, according to a 2024 election poll released on Thursday.
New Yorkers favor Biden over Trump by a 7 point margin – 48% to 41% – in a head-to-head matchup, the Emerson College Polling/The Hill/PIX11 survey found.
The 81-year-old president’s lead expanded to 10 points in the Empire State when 12% of undecided voters were asked which candidate they were leaning toward voting for.
Trump, 77, fared better with third-party candidates on the ballot, garnering 44% support to Biden’s 38% backing.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted that independents in New York are backing Trump by a significant margin.
“Independent voters in New York who traditionally vote for Democrats, according to exit polling, have flipped to lean toward Trump by a margin of ten points, 43% to 33%,” Kimball said in a statement.
A Republican presidential candidate hasn’t won New York in the general election since 1984, when former President Ronald Reagan beat Walter Mondale by an 8-point margin.
In 2016, Trump lost the Empire State to Hillary Clinton by a 22.5 point margin, and in 2020, Biden defeated the former president by a 23.2 point margin in New York.
Last week, the presumptive GOP nominee held his first campaign rally in New York – his birth state – since 2016.
The South Bronx event, permitted for 3,500 attendees, drew a crowd of between 8,000 and 10,000 people, law enforcement sources told The Post.
The rally, although not as large as Trump’s Wildwood, NJ, gathering three weeks ago, which drew about 100,000 people, was supposed to show that Trump isn’t “afraid” to show up in traditionally Democratic voting areas, a Trump campaign official said.
The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 New York voters between May 28 and May 29. It had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
