President Joe Biden is losing the support of black men at an alarming rate, according to a Wall Street Journal poll of seven swing states.
The 2024 election poll released last week surveyed voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, all states widely viewed as “toss-ups” heading into November. The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that one major finding in the poll showed that Biden’s support among black men in the swing states is 30 points lower than the 2020 election’s national results.
In the poll, 57% of black men supported Biden, while 30% said they backed former President Trump. This is a drastic shift from 2020 when 87% of black men voted for Biden, and only 12% voted for Trump, according to the VoteCast national poll.
The WSJ poll found that Biden’s support among black women remained high, but it was significantly lower than just four years ago. In 2020, 93% of black women across the country voted for Biden, but in the poll, Biden’s support among the demographic in the battleground states sits at 77%, while Trump’s numbers among black women were higher, from the 6% he received nationally in 2020 to 11% in the swing states poll.
Adrianne Shropshire, head of Democratic political action committee BlackPAC, told the Wall Street Journal that the apparent shift in black support away from Biden means that Democrats must revamp their 2020 strategy of reaching out to black voters.
“In this particular election, the persuasion isn’t just to vote or not to vote,” said Shropshire. “The persuasion is actually to get people to come to Biden and away from third parties and away from Trump.”
The WSJ poll also found that while black women are less likely than black men to ditch their support of Biden in favor of Trump, they are more likely to explore third-party options or stay home altogether.
Commenting on the WSJ poll results, a spokesman for the Trump campaign told WSJ, “Our coalition message to black and Hispanic communities this election is simple: If you want strong borders, safe neighborhoods, rising wages, quality jobs, school choice and the return of the strongest economy in over 60 years, then vote for Donald J. Trump.”
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Michael Bocian, a Democratic pollster who conducted the WSJ poll, said that in many election cycles, black voters at first appear cold to the Democratic nominee before coming around and voting blue in November.
“That said, Biden is further off than where we have seen Democrats in the past,” Bocian remarked.
Biden was blasted during the 2020 campaign when he said that black voters “ain’t black” if they were considering backing Trump. The Democratic candidate later apologized for his comment, saying, “I shouldn’t have been such a wise guy.”
